← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+2.58vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.15+2.90vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.40+4.38vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.36+3.62vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.04+3.72vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.42vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan2.03+1.59vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.25vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston2.17-0.86vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03-1.17vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.35-3.31vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami0.67+0.90vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.04vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.03-5.31vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.35-4.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
4.9Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.38Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.72Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
8.42University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
8.14College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
-
8.83Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
7.69George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.9University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
8.69Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
-
10.81Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 22.8% | 21.0% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 14.2% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Grace Howie | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Amanda Majernik | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Emily Haig | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Leah Harper | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 48.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 5.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.