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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+3.99vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+5.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+3.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.35+2.69vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.17+2.26vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03+1.59vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.03+0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-1.46vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+0.96vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04-2.32vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.11-3.33vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-4.06vs Predicted
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14University of Miami0.67-1.36vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-11.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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4.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.46Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.69George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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8.59Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.54University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.96Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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8.68Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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3.63Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 13.7% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emily Haig | 15.3% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 18.5% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Leah Harper | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 45.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 23.3% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.