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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.11+6.39vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+1.74vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.04+4.72vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.40+2.65vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan2.03+2.87vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.17+1.24vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-1.39vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.35-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.26+0.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.03-2.97vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-3.91vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-8.96vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.35-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.72Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.24College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.79George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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9.03Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.09Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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5.04Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.99Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 23.8% | 19.8% | 15.6% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Emily Haig | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% |
| Talia Toland | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.9% | 28.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.6% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.