← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.40+6.47vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan2.03+5.70vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+4.89vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.11+3.59vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.35+1.71vs Predicted
-
7University of Miami1.26+4.23vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.15-2.85vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.03-0.24vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.03-1.04vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.17-2.61vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.72-8.25vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.36-5.07vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University2.04-5.19vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.35-3.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.47Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
4.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.2%1st Place
-
8.7University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
8.59University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
-
7.71George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
11.23University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
-
5.15Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.76Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.96Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.39College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
-
3.75Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
7.93University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.81Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
11.01Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Emily Haig | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Christina Nothacker | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 25.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Ellie Maus | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 5.7% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.9% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.