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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+5.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.21vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+1.65vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.14+7.18vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.33vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.11+2.13vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.26+3.85vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.03+0.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-1.83vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-1.57vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-2.59vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.17-3.86vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.36vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-3.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.21Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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4.65Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Pennsylvania2.110.0%1st Place
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10.85University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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8.4Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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7.17George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.43Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.14College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.6Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 28.1% | 20.3% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.8% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 25.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Amanda Majernik | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Olivia Keefe | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 20.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Grace Howie | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 4.9% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 19.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.