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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+5.98vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.25vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+4.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+0.79vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.11+3.16vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+2.40vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.03+1.30vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+3.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-1.82vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-2.04vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.03-2.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.35vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.17-4.87vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.35-3.40vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.26-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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3.25Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.12George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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4.79Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Pennsylvania2.110.1%1st Place
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8.4Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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8.3Georgetown University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.26Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.13College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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10.6Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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10.84University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 26.9% | 21.6% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.6% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Majernik | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Grace Howie | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 16.2% | 26.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.