← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.85vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.40+4.88vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan2.03+5.25vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.72-0.67vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University2.04+3.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.36+1.24vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.15-2.22vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-0.15vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.35-1.79vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami0.67+2.48vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.03-2.62vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.17-3.91vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.43vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.14-2.85vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.35-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.85University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.88Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.25University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
-
3.33Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
-
8.36Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.24University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
4.78Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
7.21George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
12.48University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
-
8.38Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
-
8.09College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
-
8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
-
11.15Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.57Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Talia Toland | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 25.7% | 21.2% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 14.6% | 13.3% | 13.7% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Leah Harper | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 15.7% | 42.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.