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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+3.74vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.40+4.90vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.17+4.73vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+2.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.35+5.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+1.21vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-3.68vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.14+3.22vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.03-1.58vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.35-3.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17-3.90vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-4.37vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.03-5.69vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.67-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.9Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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6.96University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.58Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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3.32Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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11.22Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.27George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
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12.3University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 14.3% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Nicole Simon | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 26.6% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 18.0% | 21.8% |
| Grace Howie | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Leah Harper | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.