← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.72+2.35vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University2.03+6.27vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.15+1.73vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.93vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.41vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University1.35+4.79vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+1.43vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.90vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University2.04-0.67vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.40-2.73vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.14+0.33vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.17-3.77vs Predicted
-
13University of Miami1.26-1.84vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.35-6.72vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan2.03-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
-
8.27Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
-
4.73Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
-
7.41University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
10.79Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
-
7.1University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
8.33Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.27Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
11.33Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.23College of Charleston2.170.0%1st Place
-
11.16University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.28George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
-
8.38University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 26.5% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 14.6% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| Christina Nothacker | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Grace Howie | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Talia Toland | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 28.0% |
| Nicole Simon | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 23.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Jenna Probst | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.