Race 8A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Pellegrini 17.6% 16.4% 15.7% 14.7% 11.7% 8.6% 6.7% 3.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Massimo Soriano 14.4% 15.6% 13.3% 12.2% 12.9% 9.6% 8.6% 5.5% 4.2% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Patrick Clancy 17.9% 15.0% 16.4% 10.5% 11.5% 12.2% 6.6% 5.3% 3.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Wells Bacon 6.2% 8.7% 8.5% 11.1% 9.0% 9.9% 11.8% 10.1% 8.8% 9.5% 5.5% 0.9%
Nikolas Osvalds 10.6% 12.0% 12.1% 11.4% 11.7% 9.8% 9.7% 8.3% 6.4% 5.1% 2.5% 0.4%
Weston Barlow 8.5% 8.5% 7.8% 9.5% 9.1% 10.2% 11.3% 12.0% 9.0% 7.7% 5.7% 0.7%
Sarah Fiske 4.6% 4.4% 5.5% 5.8% 7.4% 7.7% 8.0% 10.5% 13.9% 13.8% 12.4% 6.0%
Tevis Nichols 4.5% 4.5% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 8.5% 10.8% 10.7% 15.5% 17.3% 6.8%
Nicholas Dragone 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 6.1% 6.7% 8.8% 11.3% 15.2% 25.9% 13.0%
Ryan White 6.6% 5.9% 6.1% 7.5% 8.6% 8.2% 10.4% 10.8% 12.2% 12.5% 8.6% 2.6%
John Fonte 1.1% 0.8% 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.9% 1.4% 2.0% 4.5% 5.1% 13.1% 67.3%
Christopher Poole 5.8% 6.2% 6.5% 8.7% 8.0% 9.6% 10.3% 12.3% 12.6% 10.6% 7.4% 2.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.