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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02+7.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.40+4.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+0.83vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.17+3.04vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+2.47vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.17+0.90vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36-0.69vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.35-1.71vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.35+0.83vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.14+0.36vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03-3.34vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.71vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.26-3.11vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.03-6.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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3.29Brown University3.720.3%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.170.1%1st Place
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8.47Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston2.170.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.29George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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10.83Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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11.36Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Miami1.260.0%1st Place
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8.37Georgetown University2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Nothacker | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 26.6% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 12.8% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kaila Pfrang | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Grace Howie | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% |
| Nicole Simon | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 18.9% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 27.8% |
| Jenna Probst | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Keefe | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 21.4% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.