Race 15A

women-showcase-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ragna Agerup 25.1% 22.9% 14.5% 10.4% 8.9% 5.5% 4.7% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Talia Toland 6.3% 7.3% 8.9% 8.3% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 6.1% 8.4% 6.3% 4.8% 5.5% 4.4% 1.4%
Jenna Probst 5.3% 4.1% 5.7% 6.6% 6.3% 6.9% 6.1% 7.9% 6.6% 6.6% 8.1% 9.1% 8.1% 7.2% 5.4%
Sophia Reineke 14.3% 13.5% 13.0% 12.0% 9.4% 9.0% 8.3% 5.6% 5.4% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3%
Grace Howie 4.9% 5.6% 4.9% 5.9% 6.2% 5.9% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 7.9% 8.6% 7.5% 8.9% 7.0% 6.7%
Aitana Mendiguren 6.0% 7.2% 5.6% 7.0% 8.4% 6.9% 8.9% 9.3% 7.3% 8.7% 7.0% 6.5% 5.2% 3.6% 2.4%
Delaney Bamford 8.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.0% 7.8% 9.8% 7.0% 8.7% 8.6% 6.8% 4.8% 6.2% 5.1% 5.0% 2.7%
Kaila Pfrang 4.8% 6.1% 6.5% 7.9% 4.9% 6.8% 6.4% 8.9% 7.0% 7.0% 8.9% 7.8% 6.9% 5.8% 4.3%
Amanda Majernik 4.2% 4.7% 5.6% 6.4% 7.9% 7.4% 7.6% 7.5% 7.7% 8.3% 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 6.8% 3.7%
Christina Nothacker 4.5% 3.8% 5.5% 5.9% 5.6% 6.0% 8.5% 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 7.1% 8.4% 7.6% 8.1% 6.5%
Olivia Keefe 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 4.5% 4.0% 3.1% 3.6% 5.2% 6.1% 6.9% 7.8% 9.6% 12.8% 27.7%
Nicole Simon 4.9% 4.1% 6.1% 6.1% 8.0% 6.9% 7.0% 7.4% 7.5% 7.4% 8.5% 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 4.3%
Ellie Maus 4.1% 5.1% 5.2% 4.7% 5.5% 6.7% 6.6% 5.4% 7.2% 8.1% 9.3% 8.6% 8.8% 7.5% 7.2%
Gwynie Dunlevy 3.9% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 6.4% 8.5% 5.2% 9.0% 8.3% 9.0% 8.0% 5.2%
Anna Patterson 1.9% 2.8% 3.6% 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 4.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 5.5% 8.2% 9.6% 15.3% 22.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.