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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+2.99vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.41vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.44+6.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.21vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.23vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.77+0.45vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.39+0.71vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.64-4.35vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.75-2.40vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.06+1.39vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.97-4.97vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-4.12vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.70-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.11Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.71George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.65College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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13.39Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 19.9% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dana Haig | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 5.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Emily Key | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 58.7% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.