← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.18+2.97vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.64+3.44vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.70+5.59vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.53vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.25vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.75+2.53vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.73vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.06+5.18vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.77-0.59vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University1.86-1.76vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-3.69vs Predicted
-
12University of Miami1.97-3.99vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University1.44-3.27vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University1.39-4.32vs Predicted
-
15University of Michigan1.32-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
-
5.44College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.59Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
5.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.25University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.53Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
6.27University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
13.18Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.41Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.24Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.01University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
9.73Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
9.68George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
9.86University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 21.0% | 18.6% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 10.9% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
| Dana Haig | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.7% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 57.1% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Emma Snead | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 5.7% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 7.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 7.4% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.