← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.18+3.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.43+4.05vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.64+2.44vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.75+4.46vs Predicted
-
5George Washington University1.39+4.70vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+1.31vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.86+1.09vs Predicted
-
8Boston College1.70+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-3.49vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami1.97-2.12vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.15-3.76vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University1.44-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.77-4.27vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan1.32-4.09vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University0.06-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.0Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
-
6.05University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
5.44College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.46Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
9.7George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
8.09Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
-
8.74Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
5.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
7.88University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
7.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
9.83Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
8.73Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.91University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
13.11Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 21.3% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Riley Kloc | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Dana Haig | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 7.8% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 8.2% |
| Emily Key | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 55.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.