← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.18+2.98vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+3.41vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.70+5.67vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston2.64+1.54vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.32vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.15+1.16vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.77+1.36vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.44+1.55vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.79vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan1.32+0.02vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-2.80vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.06+1.42vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College1.75-4.25vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami1.97-6.24vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University1.39-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.98Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
-
5.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
-
8.67Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
-
5.54College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
-
7.16University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
-
8.36Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
-
9.55Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
-
7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
-
10.02University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.2Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
-
13.42Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
-
8.75Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.76University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
-
9.65George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 19.9% | 20.0% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dana Haig | 12.1% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.3% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Abbie Carlson | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Emma Snead | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 16.3% | 8.5% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 59.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.