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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+2.93vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.64+3.38vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.70+5.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.77+4.45vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.15+2.24vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.75+2.56vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of Miami1.97-0.20vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44+0.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-4.37vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.86-2.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-4.47vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-3.06vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan1.32-4.11vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.06-1.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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5.38College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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7.8University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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9.51Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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8.2Georgetown University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.94George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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13.09Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 21.0% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.2% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 5.4% |
| Dana Haig | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Riley Kloc | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Emma Snead | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 8.2% |
| Emily Key | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 54.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.