Race 9A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Clancy 15.6% 16.9% 13.1% 14.8% 11.2% 10.0% 6.0% 6.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Wells Bacon 6.2% 8.2% 9.1% 8.9% 9.2% 10.8% 10.1% 12.7% 8.4% 10.3% 4.8% 1.3%
Steven Drapcho 6.8% 4.7% 4.4% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 9.3% 10.7% 12.6% 15.1% 10.8% 2.9%
Massimo Soriano 14.6% 14.0% 14.8% 13.4% 11.0% 8.7% 8.4% 7.0% 5.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Christopher Poole 6.3% 6.5% 6.2% 7.7% 8.1% 10.2% 11.6% 8.6% 12.7% 9.7% 9.4% 3.0%
Weston Barlow 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 8.6% 10.0% 9.9% 11.6% 10.8% 10.9% 8.0% 4.6% 1.1%
Sarah Fiske 4.9% 4.3% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 6.3% 8.4% 8.5% 13.8% 13.7% 15.1% 6.0%
Ryan White 6.9% 5.8% 7.4% 6.7% 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.6% 11.5% 12.5% 9.8% 3.6%
Nicholas Dragone 1.5% 2.8% 2.1% 2.9% 4.5% 5.5% 6.2% 8.8% 9.4% 15.8% 27.8% 12.7%
Nikolas Osvalds 10.9% 10.7% 12.0% 12.4% 10.4% 10.8% 9.8% 9.1% 6.4% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
Peter Pellegrini 17.7% 17.2% 15.5% 9.7% 13.0% 9.7% 6.8% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.0%
John Fonte 0.4% 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.4% 1.9% 2.0% 3.0% 2.6% 5.0% 13.0% 68.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.