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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.44+8.26vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+1.85vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.15+3.98vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.70+2.65vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.86+0.96vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64-2.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-1.88vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.76+1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32-1.22vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.77-3.47vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.06+0.17vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.75-5.62vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.97-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.26Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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3.85Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.98University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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5.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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7.96Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.5College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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11.54George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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13.17Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payton Canavan | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 21.1% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Dana Haig | 9.6% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.8% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 23.7% | 20.2% |
| Allison Marozza | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 7.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 2.4% |
| Emily Key | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 54.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.