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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+4.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.97+4.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18-0.06vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+3.09vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.64-0.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.11vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.70+0.57vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.44+0.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32-1.21vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.75-3.39vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.59vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.06-0.93vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.76-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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3.94Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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8.09Georgetown University1.860.1%1st Place
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5.37College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
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9.36Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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13.07Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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11.42George Washington University0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Haig | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 20.3% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Kloc | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Payton Canavan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 7.0% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 2.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 51.2% |
| Sarah Hardee | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 21.0% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.