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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.96+6.66vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+6.30vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.75+5.49vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.64+1.55vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43+1.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-2.01vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.44+2.53vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.32+0.98vs Predicted
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10University of Miami1.97-2.12vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.15-3.76vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.39-1.99vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64-7.20vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.06-0.78vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.70-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.49Bowdoin College1.750.0%1st Place
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5.55College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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3.99Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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7.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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10.01George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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13.22Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carly Broussard | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Abbie Carlson | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Kelsey Slack | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 19.5% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payton Canavan | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 8.8% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 8.1% |
| Dana Haig | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emily Key | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 57.5% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.