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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+3.02vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.96+5.62vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.64+1.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.97+2.87vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.15+1.13vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.39+2.66vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.64-2.39vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.77-0.53vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.75-1.36vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.32-1.02vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.44-2.15vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.50vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.06-0.80vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.70-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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7.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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5.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.640.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Miami1.970.1%1st Place
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7.13University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston2.640.1%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College1.750.1%1st Place
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9.98University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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9.85Fordham University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Pennsylvania2.430.1%1st Place
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13.2Christopher Newport University0.060.0%1st Place
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8.69Boston College1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 19.3% | 20.9% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carly Broussard | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Emma Snead | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn DeLisser | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Rebecca Read | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 7.7% |
| Marian Frances Williams | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Abbie Carlson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Kelsey Slack | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 9.5% |
| Payton Canavan | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 7.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Key | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 57.3% |
| Emma Batcher | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.