Race 15B

women-showcase-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Marian Frances Williams 11.9% 12.6% 10.7% 11.0% 8.7% 8.9% 8.5% 7.2% 6.1% 5.3% 3.1% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.8%
Dana Haig 10.4% 13.5% 11.1% 10.7% 9.8% 9.6% 7.2% 6.4% 5.9% 6.3% 3.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3%
Lenox Butcher 10.2% 8.0% 10.5% 9.3% 8.8% 7.7% 9.5% 7.7% 7.5% 6.9% 5.6% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5%
Emma Batcher 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 7.2% 6.4% 6.4% 6.9% 8.0% 8.8% 8.9% 8.9% 8.8% 3.9%
Carly Broussard 5.4% 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 7.4% 5.8% 7.3% 7.0% 8.4% 8.8% 9.6% 7.2% 5.4% 5.7% 2.8%
Hannah Steadman 19.4% 17.7% 15.7% 11.7% 8.5% 9.2% 6.2% 5.2% 2.0% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Kaitlyn DeLisser 7.0% 5.8% 4.8% 6.0% 7.2% 7.7% 7.8% 8.8% 9.3% 6.5% 8.9% 7.5% 6.0% 4.6% 2.1%
Kelsey Slack 4.5% 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.1% 5.6% 6.3% 7.9% 7.5% 8.3% 6.9% 9.7% 10.4% 7.4% 3.4%
Payton Canavan 3.4% 2.9% 3.8% 3.8% 5.0% 4.7% 6.8% 6.7% 6.8% 7.9% 8.7% 8.8% 13.3% 11.1% 6.3%
Emma Snead 5.6% 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 9.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.7% 6.7% 8.2% 7.1% 7.1% 5.5% 3.2% 2.1%
Allison Marozza 2.8% 2.4% 3.6% 5.0% 4.1% 4.5% 5.2% 4.9% 7.2% 5.6% 9.8% 8.7% 10.4% 16.3% 9.5%
Rebecca Read 5.9% 5.5% 8.6% 6.7% 8.1% 7.5% 8.1% 7.4% 9.2% 8.5% 7.1% 6.3% 6.0% 4.0% 1.1%
Abbie Carlson 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.0% 7.3% 5.6% 7.0% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 11.0% 8.0% 8.2% 4.2%
Emily Key 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 1.3% 1.0% 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 2.7% 3.9% 4.6% 7.0% 13.5% 56.1%
Islay Van Dusen 3.9% 3.8% 2.5% 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 10.9% 12.4% 14.3% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.