Race 10A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Wells Bacon 7.5% 7.2% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 11.2% 12.0% 9.6% 10.9% 9.5% 5.6% 1.2%
Massimo Soriano 13.5% 15.4% 14.1% 12.9% 11.7% 8.5% 10.4% 5.7% 4.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
Patrick Clancy 17.3% 16.6% 14.7% 11.0% 11.2% 10.5% 7.8% 5.5% 3.3% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Nikolas Osvalds 9.7% 11.3% 12.7% 12.1% 12.1% 9.5% 9.2% 8.6% 6.6% 5.6% 2.1% 0.5%
Peter Pellegrini 19.3% 16.9% 14.2% 12.3% 10.7% 9.3% 6.6% 4.3% 3.6% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Christopher Poole 6.0% 6.2% 7.3% 6.5% 8.3% 8.8% 11.4% 11.9% 11.7% 11.4% 8.2% 2.3%
Weston Barlow 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 10.7% 8.6% 10.6% 8.4% 9.6% 10.6% 8.8% 4.8% 1.7%
Nicholas Dragone 2.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 3.4% 5.1% 5.6% 7.8% 8.8% 14.9% 26.8% 15.3%
Ryan White 5.3% 4.6% 6.5% 7.9% 10.9% 8.7% 9.1% 13.2% 11.2% 10.6% 10.3% 1.7%
Steven Drapcho 6.0% 5.6% 5.8% 6.9% 6.4% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 13.8% 11.5% 11.1% 3.0%
Sarah Fiske 3.6% 3.1% 4.3% 6.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.9% 10.6% 11.6% 17.3% 15.3% 6.4%
John Fonte 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.3% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 14.1% 67.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.