Race 11A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Drapcho 5.8% 4.2% 6.3% 5.3% 8.0% 7.7% 9.2% 12.3% 12.1% 13.6% 11.6% 3.9%
Patrick Clancy 16.0% 16.9% 15.4% 13.1% 9.7% 10.9% 6.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Massimo Soriano 14.9% 14.3% 14.0% 12.8% 10.6% 10.6% 8.1% 6.4% 4.8% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Ryan White 4.7% 5.3% 6.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.9% 10.1% 10.5% 11.4% 13.5% 10.1% 2.7%
Peter Pellegrini 18.6% 18.0% 14.9% 11.0% 10.5% 9.2% 6.1% 5.6% 2.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Weston Barlow 8.2% 8.3% 6.9% 10.6% 9.5% 9.7% 11.4% 10.7% 10.1% 8.1% 5.2% 1.3%
Sarah Fiske 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 6.5% 6.1% 7.8% 8.9% 8.9% 11.5% 16.2% 14.3% 5.7%
Nicholas Dragone 2.7% 3.1% 3.6% 2.9% 4.3% 3.8% 7.0% 7.5% 9.9% 11.9% 27.6% 15.7%
Christopher Poole 6.0% 5.4% 7.2% 7.9% 11.4% 9.6% 10.0% 11.1% 12.2% 10.5% 7.6% 1.1%
Wells Bacon 8.5% 7.3% 8.0% 11.0% 8.4% 9.3% 10.4% 10.7% 11.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.1%
Nikolas Osvalds 10.1% 11.1% 11.8% 9.9% 11.5% 10.6% 10.0% 9.0% 7.4% 5.5% 2.3% 0.8%
John Fonte 0.4% 1.2% 0.5% 1.3% 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 1.8% 3.0% 5.6% 13.5% 67.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.