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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+8.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+7.22vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+5.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.41vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68+5.42vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.82+3.99vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+1.58vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.83vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17-0.48vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.20vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-3.41vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.89+1.81vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-4.74vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.49-7.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-3.79vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.63-2.44vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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9.22SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.42George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.99Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.58Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.52Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.59Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.81Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.21Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.56Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Matt Logue | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 19.2% | 24.2% |
| Mack Fox | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 34.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.