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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.53vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.69vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.63+11.65vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+5.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+3.65vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.39vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17+1.50vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.87vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68+1.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.23vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-3.77vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-4.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-1.08vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-6.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.15vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-5.95vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.15-8.28vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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14.65Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.36Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.87SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.58George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.23Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.76Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.85Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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13.47Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 37.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Matt Logue | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 5.7% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 16.0% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.