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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+6.43vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.75vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.47+4.39vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+3.67vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.41vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+3.89vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.17+0.46vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-0.46vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-2.32vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-1.34vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.89+1.89vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.06-4.20vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63+0.14vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.68-4.46vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-3.83vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.54vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.82-8.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.39Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.66Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.89Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.8SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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14.14Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.17Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.75Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Mack Fox | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 4.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 15.8% | 27.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.3% | 31.5% |
| Matt Logue | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.