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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.60vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.46vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.94+6.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+3.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+3.48vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+4.89vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+5.07vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+0.48vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.17-0.51vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.68+0.86vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-3.47vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.12-2.93vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-3.20vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.89-0.71vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.76vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-8.37vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.06-7.94vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.63-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.65Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.89Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.07Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.48Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.53Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.8Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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13.29Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.06SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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14.35Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.9% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Matt Logue | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 22.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Vail | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 14.2% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.