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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.48vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+7.17vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+4.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.74vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+3.28vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.17+2.53vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+5.05vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.89vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.49-1.87vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.26vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.34vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-3.12vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.63+1.29vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.68-3.67vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-6.35vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-7.37vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.49vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.54Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.28St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.53Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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12.05Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.89Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.13Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.74Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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14.29Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.63Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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13.5Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.6% | 35.6% |
| Matt Logue | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.