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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+7.57vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.68+8.93vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+6.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.37vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+3.51vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+2.65vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49+0.21vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.75vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.18vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.89+2.75vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-4.20vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-3.65vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-3.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-6.48vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.31-3.76vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-6.83vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.99-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.93George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.03Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.21Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.99SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.75Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.8Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.35Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.62Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.24Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.17Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.22Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Matt Logue | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 29.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.