Race 12A

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Pellegrini 17.8% 16.4% 15.2% 13.4% 12.3% 8.2% 7.0% 4.7% 2.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Nikolas Osvalds 9.5% 13.0% 11.0% 11.3% 11.6% 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 6.9% 4.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Massimo Soriano 15.3% 14.0% 13.5% 11.9% 12.0% 10.2% 9.2% 6.8% 4.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Wells Bacon 6.2% 8.4% 8.2% 9.7% 9.7% 9.9% 11.5% 10.4% 10.2% 9.5% 4.6% 1.7%
Weston Barlow 7.9% 8.7% 8.4% 8.8% 10.6% 10.1% 10.7% 10.0% 8.8% 7.9% 7.3% 0.8%
Sarah Fiske 4.4% 3.7% 6.2% 5.2% 5.2% 6.3% 9.5% 9.3% 14.0% 14.2% 15.5% 6.5%
Steven Drapcho 6.0% 5.3% 7.2% 7.8% 6.6% 8.9% 8.8% 10.0% 12.1% 13.1% 10.5% 3.7%
Christopher Poole 7.7% 5.9% 7.2% 7.9% 8.6% 9.5% 9.3% 10.8% 10.9% 11.1% 8.4% 2.7%
Nicholas Dragone 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 5.2% 6.7% 9.2% 8.5% 17.6% 26.6% 13.1%
Ryan White 5.6% 7.2% 5.2% 8.1% 7.9% 8.2% 9.3% 11.2% 13.0% 12.3% 9.5% 2.5%
Patrick Clancy 17.0% 14.6% 14.5% 12.0% 10.8% 11.1% 7.1% 5.5% 4.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
John Fonte 0.5% 1.1% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 3.3% 5.3% 12.9% 68.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.