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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+7.80vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+5.61vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.79vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.27vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+5.82vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.12+2.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+1.54vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.78vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82+1.05vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.16vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.80vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.49-4.48vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-0.98vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.99-0.94vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.70vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.25vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.15-8.21vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.61Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.82Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.81Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.84Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.2SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.52Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.02Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.06Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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13.6Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.1% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 22.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Matt Logue | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.