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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.52vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.22vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+5.61vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+3.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.12+3.55vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.94+3.42vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+1.52vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.18+4.38vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.63vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89+3.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-2.41vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-4.32vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.90vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.42vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.99-1.84vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.40vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-4.85vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.61Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.55Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.42Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.38Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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13.75Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.68Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.58SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.16Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 26.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 21.5% |
| Matt Logue | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.