← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+7.40vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.94+7.62vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.12+5.80vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.47+3.11vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.26vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.18+6.53vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University3.43+0.30vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University2.68+2.39vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.15-0.57vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.31+2.28vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.99vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.61-0.84vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.49-6.01vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-5.89vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University1.89-1.54vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-8.42vs Predicted
-
17Stanford University3.17-8.47vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College1.99-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.62Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
-
8.8Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
-
7.11Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.53Old Dominion University2.180.0%1st Place
-
7.3Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.39George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
8.43Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
12.28Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
9.01SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
11.16Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
-
6.99Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.46Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
-
7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.53Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
-
13.02Eckerd College1.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matt Logue | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.9% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 24.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Ian Willoughby | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.