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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+6.77vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.06+6.15vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17+4.40vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+4.38vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.49+1.17vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.51vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15-0.47vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.12-0.99vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-0.92vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31+0.41vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.47-5.86vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63+0.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.61-4.22vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.89-2.26vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.68-6.29vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University3.43-10.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.0%1st Place
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9.15SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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9.38Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.17Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.53Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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10.08Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.14Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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14.12Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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13.74Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.71George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.24Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 15.2% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 15.6% | 31.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 24.5% |
| Matt Logue | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.