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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.93vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.32vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+5.76vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+4.49vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+3.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+1.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.58vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.90vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94+0.45vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61+1.13vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.63+3.51vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University3.43-4.27vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-1.10vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.85vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.06-6.10vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.89-2.34vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.68-6.27vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.93Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.32Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.26Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.9Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.45Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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14.51Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.73Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.9SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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13.66Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 35.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% |
| Mack Fox | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 17.7% | 23.3% |
| Matt Logue | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.