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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.92vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.74vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+9.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+3.16vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+3.48vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.37vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-0.87vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06-0.07vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-1.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-0.04vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.82-1.63vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.94-3.74vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-6.00vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.17-6.56vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.68-5.36vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.63-2.43vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.37Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.4Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.93SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.96Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.37Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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14.57Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.43Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Matt Logue | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 36.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 15.9% | 21.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.