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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.12+7.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+5.76vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+6.77vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+4.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.43vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49+0.13vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+0.49vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.68+1.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.23vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.63+3.51vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.67vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-1.11vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University3.43-6.82vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University1.89-1.45vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-8.42vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.94-7.31vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-9.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.76Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.87Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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14.51Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.33SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.18Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.55Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.69Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Burnes | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Matt Logue | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 37.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 22.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.