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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+7.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+6.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+3.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+5.73vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.59vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.12+1.70vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+1.91vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.94+0.43vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.49-2.60vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-2.36vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.34vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.68-2.62vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.06-5.33vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.63-0.55vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.89-2.34vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University3.43-9.45vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.31-6.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.81Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.43Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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7.4Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.67SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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14.45Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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13.66Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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7.55Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Matt Logue | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 16.0% | 34.6% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 24.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.