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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.57vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.47+5.45vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+5.82vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+5.73vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.68+4.64vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+2.95vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.89vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.50vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-2.34vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.12-2.08vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31+0.43vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.63+1.29vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.17-5.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.49-7.93vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.94-6.44vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-8.61vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University1.89-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.45Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.82Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.89SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.66Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.29Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.28Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.07Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.56Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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13.46Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Charlie Hibben | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% |
| Matt Logue | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 5.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 15.3% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 33.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Charney | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.