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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.02+2.47vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.35+2.76vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.19-0.12vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.26+0.80vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60-0.77vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.82-0.30vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34-2.57vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.83-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Tulane University2.0220.1%1st Place
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4.76Tulane University1.359.7%1st Place
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2.88Stanford University2.1927.2%1st Place
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4.8College of Charleston1.269.4%1st Place
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4.23University of South Florida1.6012.2%1st Place
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5.7Jacksonville University0.824.9%1st Place
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4.43Tulane University1.3410.8%1st Place
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5.73University of South Florida0.835.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Samantha Gardner | 20.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
Oakley Cunningham | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 12.9% |
Sophie Fisher | 27.2% | 21.1% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Emily Alfortish | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 16.6% | 12.4% |
Kay Brunsvold | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
Agija Elerte | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 20.2% | 27.0% |
Lucy Spearman | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 8.6% |
Grace Jones | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 29.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.