Race 1B

wood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Drew Shea 11.9% 9.6% 10.9% 12.0% 12.2% 10.5% 9.4% 10.2% 7.0% 3.1% 2.5% 0.7%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 18.9% 17.7% 14.6% 13.4% 11.2% 7.9% 7.6% 5.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 15.0% 13.6% 13.5% 12.9% 10.4% 12.5% 9.0% 5.6% 4.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 5.4% 7.3% 7.9% 8.4% 9.9% 10.4% 11.1% 11.7% 10.5% 9.0% 5.2% 3.2%
Christopher Hulse 2.3% 3.2% 2.5% 4.8% 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 8.0% 12.0% 15.7% 19.2% 15.4%
Jessica Hoffman 2.3% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.2% 6.4% 10.1% 14.3% 21.0% 25.5%
Hannah Sparkman 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 8.5% 11.4% 9.3% 10.4% 11.3% 9.9% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0%
Andrew Moakes 8.3% 8.9% 8.5% 7.9% 9.2% 10.0% 11.0% 10.7% 9.1% 9.6% 4.6% 2.2%
Tom Peabody 8.1% 8.3% 11.5% 9.9% 10.1% 11.2% 11.2% 10.8% 8.4% 7.3% 2.7% 0.5%
Andrea Verdeja 2.7% 1.9% 3.3% 3.3% 2.5% 4.2% 5.7% 7.5% 9.5% 16.7% 18.8% 23.9%
Ted Netland 2.1% 2.2% 1.3% 2.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 11.8% 14.2% 20.8% 27.3%
Elizabeth Whipple 14.0% 15.2% 13.8% 12.8% 11.1% 10.4% 8.4% 6.9% 4.2% 2.5% 0.4% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.