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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+7.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.33vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.12+5.91vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+3.32vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.17+3.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+2.51vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.94vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.47-0.85vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.68vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.25vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-3.33vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-3.34vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.82-3.15vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.63+0.15vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-2.97vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University1.89-2.23vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.68-6.25vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.61-7.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.85Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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7.32Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.94SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.75Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.85Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.15Eckerd College1.630.0%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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13.77Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Eli Burnes | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Daniel Vail | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 16.4% | 31.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 26.0% |
| Matt Logue | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.