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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+6.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.84+5.69vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31+6.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.41vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35+4.54vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.61+2.35vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.01-0.29vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.03vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.46-3.74vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.92-2.73vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.69+1.40vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.46-3.05vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-3.54vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.91-3.57vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.17-5.56vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.74-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.69Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.55Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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6.41Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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6.26Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.4SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.95Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.75Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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12.43Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.44Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Vickers | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 11.4% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Hunter Kahler | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 15.7% | 23.4% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.