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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.35+9.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.61vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.61vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+3.97vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.17+6.15vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.46+0.01vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.92+1.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+1.38vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-1.88vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84-1.25vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.01-3.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.12vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-4.08vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University2.31-3.62vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University1.91-2.71vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-2.92vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.75vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.46-8.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.71George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.15Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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8.92Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.38Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.29Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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13.08Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.25SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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9.86Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 20.8% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 22.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.