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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.59vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+5.41vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46+3.15vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+6.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+1.43vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+1.74vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+3.43vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.84-0.64vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61-0.30vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University2.31-0.15vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.92-3.56vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.46-3.05vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.24vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.17-3.75vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.74-2.93vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.91-4.55vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.69-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.15Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.38George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.43Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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8.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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11.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.7Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.85Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.95Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.76Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.25Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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12.45Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.97SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.9% | 12.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% |
| Max Clapp | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 20.2% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 16.5% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.