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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.35+5.65vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.92+5.43vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.31+6.58vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.84+3.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+3.51vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.38vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-0.78vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.74+3.99vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-0.68vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.53vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.91+0.70vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.17-1.86vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.46-8.12vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.01-7.29vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-4.43vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.35-6.27vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.46-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.58Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.51Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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12.99Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.32Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.53SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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12.7Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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5.88Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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11.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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9.92Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Max Clapp | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.6% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Cormac Murphy | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 16.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 18.8% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.0% | 14.2% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.5% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.