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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.96vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+3.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.91+8.25vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University2.31+5.62vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.61+3.49vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.17+4.34vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.84+0.46vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.46+1.15vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.60vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14-3.61vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.46-5.64vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-0.15vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-5.20vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-4.46vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.92-7.78vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.88-4.37vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.25Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.62Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.34Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.15Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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12.85Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.8Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.54George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.63SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 15.2% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Jake Vickers | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 20.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Max Clapp | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 17.8% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.