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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+5.95vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.35+7.74vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.36vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.96vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+1.16vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.84+1.39vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.17+3.16vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92-0.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.61-0.35vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.88+1.50vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University2.31-0.97vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.91-0.85vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-1.58vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.46-9.07vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.70-6.95vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.46-6.79vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.74-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.74George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.16Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.65Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.5SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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11.03Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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5.93Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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9.05Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.21Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% |
| Max Clapp | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Cormac Murphy | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 15.4% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Bridget Groble | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% |
| Luke Welker | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 17.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.