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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.92+7.33vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+6.24vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.14+4.35vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.84+4.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+4.32vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University2.31+4.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+0.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.01-0.35vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.35-2.72vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.46+0.29vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-1.87vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.17-0.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.74-0.28vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.46-8.18vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College1.88-2.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-3.12vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.91-4.54vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.35-7.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.140.1%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.7Christopher Newport University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.65Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.29Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.13Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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11.59Eckerd College2.170.0%1st Place
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12.72Northeastern University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.82Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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12.35SUNY Maritime College1.880.0%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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12.46Old Dominion University1.910.0%1st Place
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10.25George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Clapp | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Lewis Cooper | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jake Vickers | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Henry Burnes | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack DeNatale | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Connor Ratcliff | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 17.7% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cormac Murphy | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.8% |
| Luke Welker | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 18.3% |
| Bridget Groble | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.